Only 13 NFL teams still have a legit shot at winning the Super Bowl

Aaron Rodgers

  • Through 10 weeks of the NFL season, just 13 teams remain with a realistic shot at winning Super Bowl LV.
  • The Chiefs and Steelers are currently the favorites to win the Super Bowl, with a slew of NFC contenders still fighting for a shot to represent their conference.
  • For the rest of the league, it might be time to start studying up for the 2021 NFL Draft.
  • Visit Insider's homepage for more stories.

After 10 weeks of the NFL season, the contenders and pretenders have started to make themselves clear.

The Chiefs are still the team to beat, but they are beatable, as the Raiders showed earlier in the season. The NFC is wide open, with the Saints, Seahawks, and Packers all having a case to be considered the favorites to come out of the conference.

While 14 teams will make the playoffs this winter and fight for the right to lift the Lombardi trophy, according to the number-crunchers at FiveThirtyEight, only 13 teams in the NFL still have a realistic chance of winning Super Bowl LV.

Take a look below to see which teams are set to make a run at a title.

13. Tennessee Titans

Record: 6-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 1%

Week 10 result: Lost to the Colts, 34-17

Week 11 opponent: at Baltimore Ravens

One thing to know: The Titans have now lost three of their past four games and head into Sunday's game against the Ravens as heavy underdogs. In a crowded AFC playoff hunt, the Titans can't afford to keep losing, or they might watch a 5-0 start to the season go to waste.

12. Las Vegas Raiders

Record: 6-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 2%

Week 10 result: Beat the Broncos, 37-12

Week 11 opponent: vs. Kansas City Chiefs

One thing to know: The Raiders took care of business against the Broncos last week but should have their work cut out for them on Sunday night against the Chiefs. Las Vegas is the only team to have beaten Kansas City so far this season, but it's going to be an even bigger challenge to do it a second time.

11. Indianapolis Colts

Record: 6-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 3%

Week 10 result: Beat the Titans, 34-17

Week 11 opponent: vs. Green Bay Packers

One thing to know: Signing quarterback Philip Rivers was the biggest splash the Colts made in the offseason, but so far in 2020, it's been the Indianapolis defense that has stood out to make the team a contender. The Colts lead the league in yards allowed per game, holding opponents to just 290 yards per outing.

10. Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray.
AP Photo/Rick Scuteri

Record: 6-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 3%

Week 10 result: Beat the Bills, 32-30

Week 11 opponent: at Seattle Seahawks

One thing to know: Kyler Murray says that the Hail Mary he threw to DeAndre Hopkins to beat the Bills on Sunday was the first he'd ever thrown. Given how electric Murray has been in his first two seasons in the league, it feels like he'll have quite a few more over the next 10 or so years.

9. Buffalo Bills

Record: 7-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 3%

Week 10 result: Lost to the Cardinals, 32-30

Week 11 opponent: Bye

One thing to know: Despite their heartbreaking loss to the Cardinals, the Bills have to be happy with where they're sitting right now — leading the AFC East and playing like one of the most complete teams in football. As long as they can hold off a charge from the Dolphins and hold on to the division, they're in a good spot heading into the home stretch of the season.

8. Los Angeles Rams

Record: 6-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 3%

Week 10 result: Beat the Seahawks, 23-16

Week 11 opponent: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

One thing to know: With their win over the Seahawks on Sunday, the Rams proved that the top of the NFC is still extremely up for grabs. While Los Angeles isn't the best the conference has to offer, they can make plays on both sides of the ball, which is more than can be said of many of the other NFC contenders.

7. Seattle Seahawks

Record: 6-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 4%

Week 10 result: Lost to the Rams, 23-16

Week 11 opponent: vs. Arizona Cardinals

One thing to know: After an astoundingly hot start to the season, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson has fallen back to Earth a bit in recent weeks, with seven interceptions thrown and 15 sacks taken over the past four weeks. He'll need to find his form again if the Seahawks are going to be contenders.

6. Baltimore Ravens

Record: 6-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 4%

Week 10 result: Lost to the Patriots, 23-17

Week 11 opponent: vs. Tennessee Titans

One thing to know: After a dominant 2019 season, the Ravens playoff hopes came to an abrupt end in January in a stunning 28-12 loss to the Titans in the AFC divisional round. Can Baltimore get revenge on Sunday?

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record: 7-3

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 7%

Week 10 result: Beat the Panthers, 46-23

Week 11 opponent: vs. Los Angeles Rams

One thing to know: Tom Brady and the Buccaneers bounced back from their embarrassing loss to the Saints in primetime with a big win over the Panthers on Sunday. If they can do it again against an NFC contender like the Rams, it would be quite a statement.

4. Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers.
AP Photo/Mike Roemer

Record: 7-2

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 10%

Week 10 result: Beat the Jaguars, 24-20

Week 11 opponent: at Indianapolis Colts

One thing to know: The Packers had to work a little harder than you'd hope to beat the Jaguars last week, but a win is a win. This week's game against the Colts should give us a much better idea of where the team stands amongst the best teams in the NFL.

3. New Orleans Saints

Record: 7-2

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 13%

Week 10 result: Beat the 49ers, 27-13

Week 11 opponent: vs. Atlanta Falcons

One thing to know: With Drew Brees on the sidelines for the next few weeks due to several injuries, the Saints are left with quarterbacks Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill to lead the team moving forward.

2. Pittsburgh Steelers

Record: 9-0

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 18%

Week 10 result: Beat the Bengals, 36-10

Week 11 opponent: at Jacksonville Jaguars

One thing to know: Just a year removed from dragging his team to an 8-8 season, Mike Tomlin has the Steelers firing on all cylinders, standing as the last remaining undefeated team in the NFL.

1. Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes.
AP Photo/Nick Wass

Record: 8-1

Chance at winning Super Bowl: 24%

Week 10 result: Bye

Week 11 opponent: at Las Vegas Raiders

One thing to know: The Chiefs are still the team to beat, and this week, they'll have the chance to prove it when they get another shot at the Raiders, the only team to have beaten them this year. Patrick Mahomes is well-rested and looking for revenge — I wouldn't bet against him.

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