Every Friday during the NFL season, ESPN betting analysts Doug Kezirian (1-0-1 last week, 13-23-1 overall), Joe Fortenbaugh (2-3-1, 26-43-1), Anita Marks (9-9-1, 47-65-2), Preston Johnson (1-1, 12-19), Mike Clay (1-0, 12-10) and Tyler Fulghum (5-5, 32-45-1), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (1-2, 21-16), Seth Walder (4-3, 40-21) of ESPN analytics and Aaron Schatz (4-2-1, 28-35-2) of Football Outsiders will tell us what they like from Sunday’s slate.
Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill and subject to change.
1 p.m. ET games
New Orleans Saints (-2.5, 45.5) at Atlanta Falcons
Fortenbaugh: Since 2000, when teams meet two weeks after their first matchup, the team that won the first game is an abysmal 7-18-1 ATS in the rematch. We just saw this trend play out last Sunday, when Tennessee dominated Indianapolis only 17 days after getting rocked by the Colts on Thursday Night Football. Now the Saints are being asked to not only defeat the Falcons twice in 14 days, but to cover 2.5 points on the road as well. Taysom Hill completed only 9 of 16 passes at Denver last Sunday, and I have a feeling the Falcons will have far more success against him the second time around, now that there is plenty of tape to dissect.
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