Arizona Coyotes at Detroit Red Wings odds, picks and best bets

The Arizona Coyotes (20-13-4) visit the Detroit Red Wings (9-25-3) at Little Caesar’s Arena Sunday at 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Coyotes-Red Wings odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.

Coyotes at Red Wings: Projected starting goalies

Antti Raanta vs. Jimmy Howard

Raanta owns a 2.72 goals against average and .919 save percentage over 13 outings (12 starts). The veteran netminder has been consistent and solid, but unspectacular on the road. His even-strength SV% is .939, and he has a history of getting better as the season wears on.

Howard has struggled his way to a 3.94 GAA and .887 SV% for a Red Wings club which ranks 31st in goals allowed per game (3.89). Howard has been on a conditioning stint in the AHL while recovering from a groin injury which has kept him out of action since November 27.


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Coyotes at Red Wings: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Sunday at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Arizona 4, Detroit 2

Moneyline (ML)

Take advantage of your fellow bettors’ unwillingness to go deep into 200-level prices, even when 300-something is warranted. A play on ARIZONA (-250) bakes in plenty of value.

The ‘Yotes went 3-1 on their last multi-game road trip, and the team is 7-3 over its last 10 away from the desert. Recent missteps (3-4 record since Dec. 6) are not backed up by puck possession analytics. Arizona does a fine job getting to the gritty, high-percentage area of the slot, and that game-systemic advantage hasn’t made its way into recent box scores.

Arizona has the fewest penalty minutes in the NHL, and it’s a factor mitigating recent gains made by the Detroit power play (7 for their last 23). This is a Red Wings club all-too-routinely posting sub-40% Corsi shares while going 2-13-2 over its last 17 games.

Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Arizona is 14-5 against the puck line on the road. Detroit is 6-13 against the half-number when skating at home. The Wings’ last 11 losses have all been by multiple scores. The ‘Yotes are on the front end of a road trip, with plenty of standings incentive for wanting to game-control whatever sheet of ice they’re on.

Back ARIZONA (-1.5, +115) to win by at least 2 goals on a smaller, complement play to the moneyline.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Coyotes to win by at least 2 goals returns a profit of $11.50. The same wager on the moneyline returns $4 in profit.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS on the projected total of 5.5 (Over: -115, Under: -106). The Howard return and health status plays more here than in the sides.

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